Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A dry pattern for Brazil and a stretch of dryness in the Midwest that might allow some fieldwork are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Wednesday.

DRY STRETCH IN MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast for the Midwest calls for a system to produce some showers across eastern areas Wednesday, followed by a stretch of dryness that will help to drain soils and allow some fieldwork to resume. Scattered shower chances return Sunday into next week.

DRIER, COLDER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Central and Southern Plains will see colder conditions the next couple nights that may be a bit of a concern for vulnerable winter wheat, but a warming trend will occur for the weekend and into next week. Winter wheat that has broken dormancy finds generally favorable conditions, but shower chances have dried up for the next week.

LIMITED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, isolated showers fell during the last couple of days but were very light, and most areas remained dry. Dryness and drought will continue to build through the week. A system will move across the region Sunday and Monday, but with limited shower chances.

DRYNESS AHEAD FOR DELTA

Recent rainfall has led to areas of flooding and soggy soils in the Delta, causing some delays for fieldwork and planting. After showers exit Wednesday, a stretch of dryness will benefit fieldwork activities into next week.

MAINLY DRY IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

In Brazil, moderate to heavy showers have fallen over the south, while it remains mostly dry in the central and north. This has helped immature corn and soybeans in the south, but second-crop (safrinha) corn in the central and north is cause for concern as the start of the dry season gets closer. Showers may resume later this week and weekend, but models suggest that overall dryness could last through the month of April.

DRIER ARGENTINA FORECAST

Central Argentina will be mainly dry through the week. Showers will focus in the west and south. A system next week may bring more widespread showers.

COLDER AIR FOR EUROPE

For Europe, there is potential for a blast of colder air over the western portions of the continent next week, but models are not sold on this idea just yet. Still, several mornings below freezing could affect vulnerable young plants.

FAVORABLE RUSSIA PATTERN

Scattered showers fell across most Russia and Ukraine areas this weekend, but temperatures remained on the lower side of normal as crops slowly awaken from dormancy in generally favorable conditions, in stark contrast to a dry autumn. A typical spring pattern of rising and falling temperatures and occasional periods of showers are expected during the next week, maintaining overall favorable conditions.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

(c) Copyright 2021 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.