Commodities Market Impact Weather

Variable South America Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Variable rainfall across South America in the next seven days and useful snow cover in the Black Sea winter wheat region are the primary features for the commodity market's attention Tuesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for light snow showers and flurries to cross the Midwest during this week. A pattern change will bring several waves of precipitation through the region from the coming weekend through next week.

WINDY AND DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

The past weekend was dry in the Southern Plains. Showers will be mostly relegated to Oklahoma and Texas this week. The coming weekend offers several occurrences of light to moderate precipitation; however, driest western areas will be bypassed by the moisture.

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COLD AND WINDY IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, dry and very windy conditions are in store through Wednesday. Much colder air is expected to filter into the region Friday and continue through much of next week, putting more stress on livestock.

MIXED BRAZIL RAIN FORECAST

Brazil had moderate to heavy rain during the past weekend, bringing some benefit to row crops. Showers will continue across the west and south this week, though amounts are forecast to be below normal for most areas. Eastern areas may show more signs of stress due to dryness. Soil moisture for the second crop (safrinha) corn appears to be less than desired because of generally below normal rainfall during this crop season.

ARGENTINA RAIN BENEFIT

Central Argentina had moderate to heavy rain during the past week. The moisture was useful for crops. However, the pattern has turned drier. Temperatures running below normal will reduce moisture demand, but daytime highs will still be in the lower to middle 30s Celsius (middle 80s to lower 90s Fahrenheit). A weak system may bring some isolated showers this weekend but the dry trend will stress developing to reproductive corn and soybeans.

BLACK SEA SNOW COVER

In the Black Sea region, recent snowfall in eastern Ukraine and Russia has offered beneficial snow cover. Winterkill damage from a weekend cold snap appears to have been limited due to the protective snow.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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