Commodities Market Impact Weather

Waves of Showers Set to Move Through US

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- An active pattern across the U.S., slow snowmelt in the Northern Plains, and rains in central Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Monday.

MIDWEST VERY ACTIVE THIS WEEK

A system brought scattered showers through the Midwest over the weekend, including some accumulating snow across the north. That continues through Monday night before tapering off Tuesday. Colder temperatures and localized frosty mornings will be possible but impacts to winter wheat are not expected. Another system will move through with several rounds of showers later this week, including potential for more snow. Another burst of cold air will move through as well, which is more likely to lead to widespread frosts and freezes that could be troublesome for winter wheat and be unfavorable for corn and soybean planting.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers went through the Central Plains over the weekend and were followed by colder temperatures, which made for some frosts across the west all the way down into the Texas Panhandle. Another system moves through this week with a few bursts of showers, but little for the southwestern drought areas. Snow is not out of the question as colder air fills in behind it throughout the week. Additional frosts may be more widespread over the coming weekend. Colder temperatures will be unfavorable for corn and soybean planting.

COLDER TEMPERATURES BACK IN NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES

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A return of below-normal temperatures will still be warm enough to continue melting the remaining snowpack in the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies, but be slow enough to reduce the impact of flooding, which is becoming a major issue in the Red River Valley. Another system will move through this week with a few bursts of showers, including snow which may be heavy in spots. Temperatures will fall back below normal and likely remain there for the rest of the month, which is unfavorable for fieldwork and planting.

MIXED CONDITIONS IN THE DELTA

A system brought heavier precipitation through the Delta on Saturday. After a couple dry days, another system is likely to produce widespread precipitation in a few rounds Thursday and Friday. Many areas of the region are wet, limiting spring planting. Some areas that have been able to plant will find good conditions for germination and early growth, though temperatures will be on the cooler end of normal.

FRONT MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL BRAZIL

A cold front is sitting across south-central Brazil with scattered showers. A system from Argentina will push this front north later this week. After some good rainfall in many areas, drier conditions look like they will be more likely afterward. The region is more dependent on systems moving through with wet season showers diminishing. But those are going to be in short supply for the rest of April.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

It was mostly dry in Argentina over the weekend. A small system will bring some isolated showers early this week before drier conditions settle in for the following week. Overall, conditions are good for harvesting a damaged crop. Soil moisture is still sub-optimal for winter wheat planting and a drier stretch will not be helpful once planting starts at the end of the month. More rainfall is needed.

GOOD GROWING CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF EUROPE

Scattered showers went through Europe over the weekend, but left Spain dry which is having poor crop conditions for winter wheat and corn planting. A system over Mediterranean will keep showers going in the southeast this week. Another system will travel westward with spotty showers for northern areas. The weather pattern looks to get more active starting this weekend, which may include more showers across the south, including Spain. Overall though, conditions for winter and spring crops are mostly favorable.

FAVORABLE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES IN THE BLACK SEA

Scattered showers fell over Ukraine over the weekend, mostly across western and central areas. A system in the Mediterranean will drift through the Black Sea region later this week with more widespread precipitation. Overall, conditions continue to be mostly favorable for winter wheat development and corn planting.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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John Baranick