Commodities Market Impact Weather

Drier Conditions Developing Behind Cold Front

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A cold front producing scattered showers that is clearing the Corn Belt today and frosts in Brazil are the short-term weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

MIDWEST DRYING OUT

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms moved through the Midwest with a cold front on Monday, which may have caused significant damage in some areas. Dry conditions are setting in for the rest of the week. Temperatures will be seasonable for a couple of days behind the front, but will increase next week. Some of the drier areas in the region will continue to see stress while areas that have been wetter recently should be alright for filling corn and soybeans.

DROUGHT IMPROVING FOR TEXAS

Scattered showers and thunderstorms moved through a good portion of the Central and Southern Plains during the weekend and Monday. A front pressing south will continue to produce showers into Texas for the rest of the week and weekend, which could offer some needed relief from the drought. Dryness and increasing temperatures this weekend and next week will exacerbate drought conditions for most everywhere else.

DRY AND WARMING IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers moved through the Northern Plains during the weekend but were not overly widespread. Drier conditions are expected for the next week while temperatures will increase. The combination is not favorable for filling corn and soybeans.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR THE DELTA

A front will push through the Delta Tuesday with scattered showers. The front will stall near the Gulf Coast and showers may continue for southern areas, which would be beneficial for filling soybeans and cotton. Meanwhile, some of the areas in the north still dealing with dryness concerns have seen favorable showers but will be rather dry for the rest of the week. There is some potential for showers to migrate north this weekend. Temperatures will be much more seasonable in this region.

GOOD HARVEST CONDITIONS FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Scattered showers moved through the Canadian Prairies this weekend, and over areas of Alberta and Saskatchewan that are in need but is likely too late to help out much of the crop as harvest continues to pick up. Mostly dry weather through the middle of next week should favor harvest conditions.

FROST FOR SOUTHERN BRAZIL WHEAT

A front brought favorable showers to southern Brazil this weekend, but also brought in much lower temperatures and frosts, which may have been damaging to immature wheat. Early plantings of corn in the south are finding good conditions for early development, shielded by the cold. Another front will move through later this week with more showers for southern areas. The front could stall out and continue showers into next week.

ARGENTINA WHEAT STILL COLD

A front that moved through Argentina this weekend brought some decent showers to some wheat areas, but also brought cold air again with widespread frosts and freezes. A front that moves through later this week will bring showers to northern agricultural zones but low temperatures yet again and likely more frosts. Limited rainfall and cold temperatures have been detrimental for wheat development so far this season.

FRONT MOVING THROUGH BLACK SEA

A front will move through the Black Sea region later this week, bringing temperatures down and helping to reduce stress for filling corn and sunflowers. The front is not forecast to produce much precipitation outside of some spotty areas.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick