Commodities Market Impact Weather

Heavy Rain Pushes Eastward

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A drier stretch in the Northern Plains, heavier rain along and east of the Mississippi River, and showers moving into southern Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention on Wednesday.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FOR MIDWEST

A system will bring more showers through the Midwest through Friday with heavier rain and some severe weather. A system will move into the Northern Plains and western Midwest this weekend. The front to the system will stall around Minnesota and Iowa going into next week. Periods of showers will continue there while areas to the east will be much drier for several days before the front finally pushes through late next week. That will open up another dry window for more fieldwork across eastern areas. Meanwhile, the rainfall that comes through Friday should be good for seed already in the ground.

HEAVY SHOWERS LEAVING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS

Widespread heavy showers have fallen across the Southern Plains this week and continue over eastern areas on Wednesday before exiting. Some flooding has occurred in spots. Another front and system should bring more showers through northern areas during the weekend and into next week. Wheat is likely too late to be able to use much of the moisture and the showers will only stabilize conditions at this point. But increases in moisture will benefit summer crops and pastures.

DRIER FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

The Pacific Northwest remains drier for the next couple of days with rising temperatures. But another trough will move through the region Friday into next week with more showers and cooler conditions again. Showers will benefit wheat, especially where dryness and drought remain concerns, but the lower temperatures coming up will keep growth slower.

BRIEF PERIOD OF DRYNESS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Drier weather in the Northern Plains throughout the remainder of the week may be enough to get planters rolling a little faster in North Dakota and the surrounding areas that have been too wet. But the window is short as a system moves in this weekend with periods of scattered showers going into next week.

SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE DELTA

Scattered showers that moved into the Delta on Tuesday continue on Wednesday. A longer break will develop afterward, which may extend into June. Recent showers are benefiting seed in the ground, but some upcoming dryness could cause some stress if it lasts too long.

RAINS RETURN TO SOUTHERN BRAZIL

It remains dry across central Brazil and continues to negatively affect corn. A cold front will move into southern states today and Thursday and stall out going into next week, bringing widespread showers to benefit pollinating to filling corn. The front is not expected to bring showers to central states.

ARGENTINA WHEAT NEEDS MORE RAINFALL

A cold front will continue to push north out of Argentina by Thursday, bringing some showers to wheat areas, though amounts have been light. Wheat needs more showers for good germination and early growth but will find low temperatures instead, keeping both slow and uneven.

COOL AND SHOWERY IN BLACK SEA

Colder weather and periods of showers will continue across the Black Sea region through the weekend. Temperatures will rise next week and showers will become more isolated or absent. Soil moisture in the region is adequate, though there are some dry spots here and there throughout the region, mostly in parts of Ukraine and the Volga Valley of Russia. Temperatures rising next week will promote growth for areas of good soil moisture but could stress those that need some more rainfall.

SPOTTY SHOWERS FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Recent dryness in the eastern Canadian Prairies is benefiting soil draining. Some spotty showers may move across the region through Thursday, but another system is likely to bring more widespread moderate showers Friday into next week. Western areas will welcome it but eastern areas will not. Some frosts may occur behind the system as well.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick