Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Scattered showers expected for the Corn Belt, along with the continued La Nina pattern in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Thursday.

SCATTERED MIDWEST SHOWERS

A system will bring scattered showers to the eastern Midwest Thursday and temperatures will fall below normal behind the system. Showers could produce some further delays in a few spots across the north. Additional showers are expected over southern areas this weekend into early next week, and again with a system passing through in the middle of next week. These last two pieces have better chances of producing harvest delays for corn and soybeans.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A system brought some showers to northern areas of the Southern Plains during the last couple of days but with no significant impact. Temperatures will be below normal for a few days after the system passes through, but go on a warming trend this weekend into next week. A few showers will be possible Friday through the weekend, but mostly for eastern areas. Western areas may be concerned with moisture if a system does not produce showers in the middle of next week.

OCCASIONAL SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS

A system brought some pockets of moderate rainfall to mostly South Dakota during the last couple of days, which may have caused some delays for harvest, but nothing overly concerning. Temperatures will go below normal for a couple of days after this system passes through but go above normal again this weekend into next week. Some showers may return during the weekend, but an organized system is expected around Tuesday that could have more scattered showers.

A FEW GOOD HARVEST DAYS IN THE DELTA

A system will pass by to the north of the Delta during the next couple of days and the region should remain mostly dry, benefiting harvest. Scattered showers are likely this weekend into early next week and again in the middle of next week, all of which could cause some harvest delays but benefit winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS DELAY HARVEST AGAIN

A front will come through the Southeast with scattered showers that could produce some delays Thursday and Friday for the cotton harvest. Two more periods of showers are expected next week that have a better chance of causing delays.

BLACK SEA WHEAT IN NEED OF MORE RAIN

Some isolated showers have moved through the Black Sea region recently and continue for the next couple of days, but more spots will be dry than get a shower. A front will move through with more scattered showers this weekend before temperatures fall below normal and some frosts develop. Dryness continues to be a concern for winter wheat establishment before lower temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

CENTRAL BRAZIL RAINS CONTINUING

Scattered showers will continue in central Brazil for the next week, benefiting corn and soybean planting and development. Dryness over the south is not a concern for corn or soybeans and should benefit winter wheat harvest. A front will bring more showers to southern areas this weekend.

DRYNESS CONCERNS FOR ARGENTINA

Recent dryness in Argentina has been detrimental for corn and soybean planting and emergence, and also for reproductive to filling winter wheat. A front will move through Thursday and Friday with some scattered showers, but coverage does not look to be very widespread at this time and dryness looks to follow again through most of next week.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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