Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A mixed outlook for Midwest rain during the next 10 days and dry conditions in Argentina are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for variable Midwest rain in the next week. Northern and north-central areas have periods of moderate to locally heavy activity in store. Southern sectors will be drier. Hot weather in southern areas will be stressful to pollinating corn and will hinder vegetative growth of soybeans.

MORE HEAT FOR SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, showers and thunderstorms remain in store for the eastern half of the region during the next week. The western half of the region has a drier pattern with high temperatures. This will continue to be stressful for dryland crops including cotton. Non-irrigated corn, pasture and livestock will also incur stress due to heat and dryness.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains crop areas continue with mostly favorable crop weather conditions. Periods of shower and thunderstorm activity are indicated to continue moving across the region, supporting good soil moisture where they occur. Temperatures show a variable trend with no extreme heat through the next week.

SHOWERS FOR DELTA AND SOUTHEAST

Delta and Southeast crop areas have additional periods of showers and thunderstorms through the end of the week. These occurrences will maintain favorable crop prospects. Rain occurrences will be important due to a very warm to hot pattern causing crop stress in any areas with lighter amounts of precipitation.

MORE PRAIRIES SHOWERS

Showers and thunderstorms continue in the forecast for the Canadian Prairies. Precipitation from the storms may lead to some crop areas having excessive soil moisture. Temperatures will turn notably lower as well, leading to slower crop progress.

SHOWERS IN BLACK SEA REGION

In the Black Sea region, periods of rain are indicated to cross Ukraine and Russia over the next seven days. The rain occurrences will disrupt wheat harvest but will offer useful soil moisture for Ukraine corn and oilseed crops.

SHOWERS TO CROSS EUROPE

Light to locally moderate rain is indicated for Europe crop areas during the next seven days. The rain will favor summer crops but will hinder wheat harvest.

DRY FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL HARVEST

In central Brazil, Mato Grosso has another dry week ahead for safrinha corn harvest.

LIMITED ARGENTINA RAIN

Argentina crop areas have little to no rain in the seven-day forecast. This dry trend is unfavorable for wheat.

FAVORABLE AUSTRALIA FORECAST

Australia wheat areas continue with periods of showers through the next week. This brings additional useful soil moisture for vegetative wheat.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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