Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Cooler conditions reducing stress on developing crops in the Midwest but also keeping crop development behind normal in some areas, and favorable conditions for the winter wheat harvest, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

COOLER IN MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast again calls for weekend rainfall in the Midwest and lower temperatures early this week to ease stress to developing corn and soybeans, especially pollinating corn after recent hot weather. However, crop development remains well-behind normal in most areas.

LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN TROPICS

In the tropical outlook, a trough of low pressure moving through the central Bahamas is producing a small area of showers and thunderstorms mainly along and to the east of the trough axis. Environmental conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for development during the next couple of days, while the trough moves west-northwestward at around 15 miles per hour. Additional development is not anticipated after that time due to strong upper-level winds.

DRIER DAYS AHEAD FOR DELTA

The Delta has a chance today for scattered showers and thundershowers. Following today's activity, it will be dry again for another six or seven days.

LOWER TEMPERATURES AHEAD FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, the winter wheat harvest is nearing completion in Kansas and is increasing in Colorado and Nebraska. Recent hot weather stressed corn and soybeans, especially pollinating corn. A turn to lower temperatures during the next few days will ease stress.

GENERALLY FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains' crop areas see generally favorable weather for developing corn, soybeans and spring wheat. However, crop development for corn and soybeans is significantly behind normal.

MOSTLY BENEFICIAL CANADIAN PRAIRIES' CONDITIONS

Canadian Prairies' crop areas mostly will benefit from episodes of showers during the next week to 10 days. A variable temperature pattern with periods of cool and warm weather may keep development behind normal during this period. However, early this week it will be turning warmer, for a time.

VARIABLE TEMPERATURE PATTERN FOR UKRAINE, WEST AND SOUTH RUSSIA

Corn and sunflower in south and east Ukraine, and west and south Russia, will benefit from periodic showers and a variable temperature pattern during the next 10 days. The region will see warmer weather during the weekend and early this week before it turns much cooler again.

RUSSIA AND KAZAKHSTAN SEE LITTLE RAINFALL

Hot, dry weather has recently affected spring wheat areas from the Volga valley of Russia across the Urals region to the northwestern Kazakhstan area. The area is likely to see variable temperatures but little rainfall this week. Longer-range forecasts suggest lower temperatures and some increase in rainfall early next week.

VARIABLE RAIN IN CHINA

There was scattered moderate-to-heavy thunderstorms favoring north and east areas during the weekend. There are somewhat drier, hotter conditions through southwest and central areas. Crops will benefit from somewhat lower temperatures and scattered showers during this week.

IMPROVING CONDITIONS IN INDIA

In India, moderate-to-heavy showers and thundershowers occurred from east and south areas of West Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra through south and central areas of Gujarat. This included key growing areas for soybeans, groundnuts, cotton and sugarcane. The region is likely to see additional moderate-to-heavy rain during the middle to later part of this week. There are improving conditions for crop development at this time.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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