Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Mixed conditions across the central U.S., and generally favorable trends in central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MIXED MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for wet and cold conditions in the Midwest to limit fieldwork through early next week. Warmer weather and only light rain or showers during the middle to latter part of next week should allow for some improvement.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS CONDITIONS

In the Northern Plains, slowly increasing temperatures and less rainfall will gradually improve conditions for planting during the next week. The drier trend looks to be replaced in the 10-day time frame by more rain along with lower temperatures.

DRIER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, soil moisture remains well-supplied for developing winter wheat. Heavy rain early this week delayed row crop fieldwork and planting. Drier conditions are in store during the next week, offering improved conditions for wheat and for row crop planting. There were freeze-level temperatures early Friday morning but it should not have been cold enough to significantly harm wheat in current growth stages.

DELTA FLOODING

The Delta had very heavy rain during the past few days, ranging from 3 to 6 inches. This likely means delays to planting and local flooding of fields, especially through southern areas. Rain may linger in the south and east areas during the next day or two.

POSSIBLE PRAIRIES RAIN

Across the Canadian Prairies, episodes of mostly light precipitation during the next week will help improve soil moisture for planting. Warming conditions are also likely for most of this period. Longer range is more uncertain, as it could turn wetter and cooler towards next weekend.

MILD IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

In central Brazil, second-crop (safrinha) corn areas are likely to trend warm and dry during the next 10 days. Soil moisture should support filling crops. Warmer, drier weather favors maturing crops and harvest.

LATE-WEEK ARGENTINA RAIN

In Argentina, moderate-to-heavy rain occurred through southern and eastern areas Thursday and Thursday night. Rain improves soil moisture in winter wheat areas but will also bring some row crop harvest disruption.

SCATTERED AUSTRALIA RAIN

Most wheat areas of eastern Australia need more rain to ensure favorable germination and early development. Southern South Australia and Victoria had some rain during the past 24 hours. The next chance for more widespread rain in eastern areas looks to be late next week. In Western Australia, there is no significant rainfall in the forecast during the next 10 days.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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