Market Impact Weather

Rain Increases for Western Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Prospects for more rain in the western Midwest and further increased rain prospects in central Brazil are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

INCREASED WESTERN MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for heavier rainfall in the western and northern Midwest over the next week to 10 days than previously forecast. Rain begins in the western and northern Midwest during the coming weekend, and remains as a feature item through much of the first week of October. This wetter pattern will disrupt harvest. Elsewhere in the Midwest, favorable dry conditions will allow for continued harvest progress. There are again no significant threats of a season-ending freeze.

BENEFICIAL SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, rainfall during this week is very timely and beneficial to winter wheat planting and development. A drier period coming up will favor planting progress.

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FAVORABLE DRY PATTERN IN DELTA

The Delta and Southeast have continued dry and mild conditions for ripening crops and harvest through the weekend.

COLDER AND WETTER FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Across the Northern Plains, the forecast has changed to feature more rain and cooler temperatures during much of the five- to 10-day time frame. This combination may be unfavorable for maturing crops and will likely disrupt harvest. There is also a good chance for freezing temperatures in the seven-day time frame, mostly in Montana and western North Dakota. Such an occurrence is not that unusual for early October.

SHOWERS FORM IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

Rain showers continue to develop in central Brazil. Activity was noted in Goias Wednesday, and in Mato Grosso Thursday. Additional rain of moderate to heavy intensity is featured in the five-day forecast. The rain will be beneficial for soil moisture for planting and early development of the 2017-18 soybean crop.

AUSTRALIA SHOWER CHANCE

A chance for rain is noted in the forecast for eastern Australia wheat areas Thursday. This will be closely watched for possible easing of drought conditions. This feature is a new development in forecast presentations, and thus is uncertain.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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