Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Widespread showers in central Brazil, dry conditions in central and southern Argentina, and warmer temperatures in the Central and Southern Plains are the weather factors driving the markets on Wednesday.

CLIPPER SYSTEMS CONTINUE IN MIDWEST

Clipper systems will continue to provide rounds of light snow to northern and eastern areas through the weekend and temperatures could dive below average behind some of these clippers. By early next week, a major warm-up could develop before larger systems from the West start arriving midweek. Another blast of Arctic air could redevelop closer to Jan. 10.

WARMER TEMPERATURES IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

After a quick cold spell earlier this week, temperatures will start recovering above average through the rest of the week. Very little precipitation is in the forecast, with soil moisture falling for winter wheat areas. Warmer air has been awakening wheat as well, which will reduce winter hardiness for when cold air inevitably returns towards mid-January.

WARM-UP IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND

Temperatures have been fluctuating between above and below average as clipper systems tag the eastern Dakotas this week. By late this weekend, a dramatic warm-up is expected throughout most of the region that could last into at least early next week. Precipitation through the weekend is expected to remain relatively light with any quick-moving systems that pass through.

PRECIPITATION MISSING THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA

Snowmelt across the Midwest brought a limited boost to water levels on the Mississippi River last week but will not be able to get it above concerning levels. Showers will be limited through the weekend with the next large system not arriving until the middle of next week. More consistent precipitation is needed to bring water levels up.

FAVORABLE CONDITIONS IN BRAZIL

Soybeans will continue to fill pods across central Brazil and this will accelerate in January. Rain showers will be more widespread across central Brazil through the upcoming weekend, and showers also look to continue across southern Brazil, favorable for maturing corn. A brief break in the rain is possible late this weekend into early next week across southern Brazil and showers could become scarcer across east-central Brazil later next week.

COOL TEMPERATURES BUILD IN EASTERN ARGENTINA

Fronts have been moving through northern areas and providing consistent rainfall, favorable for pollinating corn. Despite a drier stretch of weather across the south, soil moisture is still largely favorable across most of the country, but moisture levels are falling. While a few isolated showers are possible in the north through the rest of the week, mostly dry conditions are expected in central and southern areas, which could increase stress on developing corn and soybeans.

SHOWERS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THE BLACK SEA

Light snow showers favor Ukraine and southwest Russia throughout the rest of this week with some areas of heavy snow in the Caucasus. Brief cold snaps through early next week could cause some winterkill in areas without adequate snow cover. Multiple large systems could move through Ukraine and southwest Russia during the first half of next week, increasing snow cover in some areas.

SHOWERS FAVOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA

Soil moisture is still mixed around the wheat belt. Wheat and canola harvest is nearing the end with overall favorable conditions. Meanwhile, cotton and sorghum planting is nearly completed and is finding some unfortunate dryness in a lot of areas, causing stress. Most precipitation favors eastern Australia going into next week with southern and western areas remaining relatively dry.

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