Commodities Market Impact Weather

Front Sweeping Through US

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Additional rain for the U.S. over some of the drought areas and a drier Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Wednesday.

MORE SHOWERS FOR MIDWEST

A front will move through the Midwest later this week with additional scattered showers and thunderstorms, though mostly light. Temperatures are up and down for the next week but will trend to the warm side again. Conditions are mostly favorable for early development, though there are some wet pockets that could use some dry weather to continue planting.

HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A front moving through the Central and Southern Plains over the next few days should bring additional showers to much of the region, which may further improve soil moisture, including some of the deepest drought areas in the southwest. With additional showers possible next week as well, the pattern remains favorable for early crop development.

QUIETER FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

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A front will bring scattered showers through the Northern Plains Wednesday and Thursday, along with a shot of colder air, but the rain is not forecast to be heavy, and the cold will only last a day or two. Wetter areas have had a chance to dry out and that continues through the weekend. More showers may be possible next week, an overall favorable pattern for reducing drought and supporting crop establishment.

DELTA GETTING MORE RAINFALL

Scattered showers continue to be possible in the Delta through Saturday. Wetter soils in the region are mostly favorable for developing crops. Drier conditions are likely to set in by the weekend and continue next week.

WARM FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

A front moving through the Canadian Prairies is producing some showers, but most areas are being missed. The drop in temperatures that follows will be short-lived and temperatures rise again going into the weekend. Conditions are mostly favorable for continued planting, though more showers are needed across the region's drought area, which is fairly widespread. Models are supporting more rainfall for next week.

DRY FOR BRAZILIAN CORN

Dry conditions continue in Brazil through the end of the week, but that is typical for this time of year. A front will move into southern areas this weekend and may produce some showers, but additional rainfall would be helpful for reproductive to filling safrinha corn. Soil moisture is much improved for winter wheat planting and establishment. Temperatures remain warm with no risk of frost.

SHOWERS RETURNING TO ARGENTINA

A front will go through Argentina with showers over the next few days, and the pattern will favor additional fronts moving through to end May. Precipitation coverage and intensity is uncertain, however. Drier conditions are in place for winter wheat planting and establishment and rainfall is desperately needed.

GOOD WEATHER FOR MOST OF EUROPE

A cutoff low will continue to meander around the Mediterranean for at least the next week, which should continue showers around the sea and occasionally other places as well. That includes over drought-stricken Spain, though coverage and intensity is not enough to break the drought. Overall, favorable conditions continue for most of the continent, though there are some limited areas of dryness and flooding.

GOOD WEATHER FOR THE BLACK SEA

An upper low over the Mediterranean and a couple of fronts dipping into the region may provide at least some showers for the Black Sea region into next week. Soil moisture and warm temperatures are mostly favorable for crop development.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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John Baranick