Commodities Market Impact Weather

Near-General Central US Rain Chance

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Continued rain chances for most of the central United States and favorable prospects for crops in Europe and Russia are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Thursday.

RAINY ACROSS MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for rain across the Midwest during the next seven days. Amounts will vary. Northern and eastern sectors have light to moderate totals in store. Western and southern sectors have heavy amounts with possible severe storms and potential flooding. Recently dry portions of the northern Midwest will be watched closely for rainfall.

STORMY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Southern Plains continue with a forecast for moderate to heavy rainfall during the coming week. Rain is beneficial for row crop and cotton soil moisture. Developing wheat may incur disease due to the wetter and cloudier pattern. Some flooding may also occur along with the potential for severe storms.

CHILLY AND DRIER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, a notably colder pattern is forecast through the next week. This includes the potential for frost. Additional periods of showers will also occur along with very strong winds at times. Additional moisture is needed after recent rain and snow; however, the pattern is turning drier.

DELTA SHOWER CHANCE

The Delta has several periods of showers in the forecast through the coming weekend. Rainfall from these systems will be favorable for corn, soybean and cotton moisture.

STILL DRY IN SOUTHEAST

The southeastern U.S. will stay mainly dry with very warm to hot weather during the next seven days. This pattern is beginning to take up soil moisture and will be watched for possible stress to crops.

COLDER AND DRIER IN PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies forecast is turning drier during the next seven to 15 days. This means very little follow-up moisture for the region after recent precipitation. A turn to colder conditions will slow the pace of crop development.

STATIC BRAZIL FORECAST

A swath of moderate rain occurred over much of the Brazil winter corn production areas during the past three days. This rain is offering some modest easing of drought stress. The forecast brings additional rain into southern areas; however, Mato Grosso has a mainly dry pattern with very warm to hot weather.

DRY ARGENTINA TREND

Central Argentina has a continued dry pattern in the seven-day forecast. This will favor additional row crop harvest progress.

CONTINUED EUROPE SHOWER PROSPECT

Periods of showers and mainly below-normal temperatures remain in the forecast for most of Europe crop regions this week. Crop moisture is favorable at this time.

FAVORABLE RUSSIA RAIN CHANCE

Rain prospects are increasing across Russia and Ukraine crop areas during the next week. Most primary wheat areas have moderate to locally heavy amounts indicated in the forecast. This would be useful late-season moisture for wheat along with summer crops.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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