Commodities Market Impact Weather

Favorable Row Crop Harvest Conditions

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Generally favorable conditions for the row crop harvest for the next seven days, moderate amount of rain for the Great Lakes and Northeast causing some possible harvest delays, and dry conditions affecting winter wheat planting in the U.S. Southern Plains and the Black Sea region are key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

VERY COOL FOR MIDWEST

In the Midwest, frontal boundary brought some rain in the last few days that caused harvest delays for corn and soybeans along with winter wheat planting. The small percentage of wheat already in the ground will benefit from the increased topsoil moisture. The DTN Ag Weather forecast calls for temperatures to fall significantly, leading to frost potential across the north Thursday-through-Saturday mornings. This may cause more rapid maturation of crops across the region. Scattered showers are expected with a system this weekend into early next week and may cause further delays.

DRY WEEK FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, soil moisture remains adequate for early germination of wheat, though it is a bit drier in Kansas. Overall dryness should allow more winter wheat planting progress to be made and corn harvest to continue over the next couple of days. Despite some showers this weekend, dryness may build further in Kansas and Nebraska.

COLD FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, overall dryness this week will benefit ongoing harvest and fieldwork. Some showers will move through Friday and Saturday but will be light. A couple nights near or below freezing will be possible in the middle of the week and could cause more rapid maturing.

DRY DELTA PATTERN

In the Delta, drier weather is expected for the remainder of the week, with favorable harvest and fieldwork weather. Some showers will move through on Sunday but will only be a brief hiccup in the overall dry pattern.

SHOWERS, THEN DRIER FOR SOUTHEAST

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In the Southeast, wet soils from two tropical systems over the two weeks have likely caused some flooding and damage to mature cotton. Drier weather through the weekend will help to drain soils, though some showers will be possible early next week.

MAINLY DRY IN BRAZIL

In Brazil, scattered showers will continue along a stalled frontal boundary across the south through the next week for Rio Grande do Sul while other areas remain relatively dry. Producers await the start of the wet season for soybean planting in the central and north, but conditions are much better in the south for full-season corn and filling winter wheat.

BENEFICIAL ARGENTINA MOISTURE

In Argentina, moderate to heavy rain fell across much of the country this weekend, boosting soil moisture for many central areas and in the south. This will benefit developing wheat and prepare soils for spring planting, though it will not be enough to reverse the drought yet. Showers will focus over northern areas this week along a stalled frontal boundary while cooler weather develops across the south, limiting growth for wheat. Showers are expected over the south this weekend but will not be overly heavy.

FAVORABLE HARVEST WEATHER FOR PRAIRIES

For the Canadian Prairies, outside of some isolated showers in the east, most areas will be dry this week, with unencumbered progress.

SHOWERS IN EUROPE

In Europe, a system will continue to bring showers over the eastern half of the continent through Friday, boosting soil moisture for germinating winter crops. Harvest has been delayed, however. Another system moving into the west will bring a potent punch of showers through the weekend and spread to eastern areas while it slowly exits early next week.

DRY RUSSIA FORECAST

Russia and Ukraine wheat areas continue to be under drought conditions, but showers did fall over Ukraine the past few days. Showers will continue over Ukraine through the weekend and into early next week as two systems meander in the area, but very little to no precipitation is expected in Russia. The showers will benefit planting and developing winter wheat in Ukraine but the dryness continues to be overly concerning for Russia.

LIGHT AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Scattered showers fell across southern areas this weekend in Australia. A system will bring light showers across the east through Thursday, but most areas will be on the drier end. Queensland is still behind in rainfall and could use additional moisture for developing to reproductive wheat and rapeseed.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN CHINA

In China, recent showers maintained adequate to surplus soil moisture for filling corn and soybeans in the northeast, but crops should be coming closer to maturity and drier conditions would be more favorable. Scattered showers will likely delay maturing corn and soybeans. Overall favorable conditions are found in the south for rice and sugarcane and in the North China Plain for winter wheat and rapeseed planting.

INDIA MONSOONS WITHDRAW

Monsoon moisture continues to withdraw from India and showers are becoming much more isolated across the north and west. Still, late-season showers can be counted on in the east.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
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