Commodities Market Impact Weather

Variable Midwest Rain Prospects

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Variable rainfall chances in the Midwest and ongoing favorable precipitation indications for Australia wheat areas are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

MIXED MIDWEST RAIN CHANCES

The DTN Ag Weather forecast calls for variability in Midwest rain activity and amounts over the next week. Showers are indicated for western areas, including Iowa, Wednesday and Thursday, then spreading east over the weekend. Rainfall totals appear to be light for drier western crop areas and light to moderate east. The general impact will be to maintain favorable conditions for reproductive to filling corn and soybeans continues.

WARMER, DRIER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Southern Plains areas continue with below to well below normal temperatures during the next two days. The pattern turns much warmer during late week. Very warm to hot temperatures and drier conditions will bear close watching for possible stress to filling row crops.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

Northern Plains crop areas have a mainly dry and mild pattern through the next three days. Conditions are favorable for spring wheat harvest and row crop filling. Light to moderate rain is indicated in the five-day period.

VARIABLE DELTA AND SOUTHEAST RAIN

Delta and Southeast crop areas have a mixed rain pattern. The far southeast crop areas had heavy rain from Tropical Storm Isaias. Areas farther inland along with the Delta were dry. The balance of the week brings scattered rain, with the focus again in the southeast coast.

LATE-WEEK PRAIRIES SHOWER

In the Canadian Prairies, two weather systems will bring scattered showers to the region this week. Rainfall looks to bypass the southwestern areas, which will bring some stress potential to crops due to dryness.

FAVORABLE BLACK SEA RAIN

In the Black Sea region, USDA notes widespread, locally heavy showers and thunderstorms stabilized or improved conditions for reproductive to filling summer crops in western areas. In eastern locales, periods of rain further eased drought and stabilized spring grain prospects, while unseasonable showers were untimely for open-boll cotton in Kyrgyzstan and environs. Additional rain chances are indicated for the Volga Valley over the next week.

DRY TREND FOR EUROPE

Across Europe, very hot and dry conditions over the past week have been stressful to summer crops in both western and southeastern Europe. The forecast is mainly dry through the weekend, which may bring additional crop stress.

DRY FOR BRAZIL LATE HARVEST

Across Brazil, dry conditions continue to favor the later stages of safrinha corn harvest. Meanwhile, conditions remain favorable for developing wheat in the south.

MIXED ARGENTINA RAINFALL

Argentina crop areas have a mixed rainfall pattern in the forecast. Eastern crop areas have light to locally moderate showers indicated. Central areas will continue to be dry. Wheat acreage has been reduced due to dryness.

WESTERN AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Showers are indicated in portions of Western Australia wheat areas. Rain remains in the forecast for both western and eastern wheat areas through the balance of the week. This would be useful moisture for wheat.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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