Commodities Market Impact Weather

Stormy Late Week in Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Stormy conditions to end the week in the central U.S. forecast and variable rain prospects in South America are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

STORMS FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a round of showers and thunderstorms to form in the Midwest during the end of the week. Moderate-to-heavy amounts of rain are indicated, along with the potential for severe storms. The rain will hinder spring fieldwork, notably in eastern and southern sectors. A drier trend is expected in the 10-day time frame; however, some showers will still develop.

DRY AND WINDY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, very warm and windy conditions will be stressful to winter wheat in the next 24 hours, along with producing a high threat of wildfires. Storm systems are indicated to track through the region in the five-to-seven-day time frame, offering rain for most of the region.

LIGHT NORTHERN PLAINS SNOW

Northern Plains areas have some areas of light snow Thursday, mainly in South Dakota. This sector of the region has thunderstorms in the forecast Friday and Saturday. Mostly dry conditions elsewhere will be favorable for snow melt along with continued progress in the delayed corn harvest.

ADDITIONAL DELTA RAIN

The Delta has a rainy forecast. Moderate rain returns to the area Saturday. Another system with moderate rain moves through early next week.

While there will be some dry days, getting fields to dry out will be difficult and continue to delay fieldwork.

DRIER TREND IN BRAZIL

Most Brazil crop areas have below-normal precipitation forecast over the next five days. Crop stress is likely, notably in southern Brazil where dryness has been most acute. The state of Rio Grande do Sul in southern Brazil is now estimated to produce its lowest soybean crop in the past four years.

VARIABLE ARGENTINA CONDITIONS

Argentina has scattered rain in the forecast through the end of the week. Some moderate amounts are expected over central growing areas, which will help late-filling corn and soybeans, but other areas will come under stress due to limited precipitation and very warm to hot conditions. The rain pattern remains scattered through the weekend. Temperatures are forecast to turn lower during the seven-day time frame.

COLDER IN EUROPE

Western and southern Europe wheat areas have a colder pattern indicated during the first part of next week. This colder trend may cause some shock to winter wheat, which is several weeks ahead of normal in its post-dormancy development.

CHILLY BLACK SEA FORECAST

In the Black Sea region, winter wheat in Russia and Ukraine is in the tillering to jointing stage, about two to three weeks earlier than normal. An early-week cold outbreak largely missed the wheat areas, but another may need to be watched for early next week. Low temperatures are forecast in the range of minus 5 to minus 7 Celsius (23 to 19 degrees Fahrenheit).

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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