Commodities Market Impact Weather

Central US Winter Storm

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A strong winter storm across the central United States, and mixed rain in South America, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MIDWEST SNOW AND ICE

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for another round of moderate to locally heavy snow, freezing rain and rain Friday and Saturday. This is likely to affect travel and transport during this period. It also will maintain very wet conditions in the Midwest and Delta regions and is a concern as we look towards the spring planting season. Arctic air projected over the Midwest Sunday through Tuesday is expected to bring another round of subzero readings to the western and some central areas of the Midwest. It appears that readings in soft red winter wheat areas will fall into the low teens or upper single numbers Fahrenheit above zero Sunday or Monday. This will need to be watched as there is not likely to be significant snow cover and this is a fairly cold air mass coming to the area.

USEFUL SOUTHERN PLAINS PRECIPITATION

In the Southern Plains, rain and freezing precipitation occurring at the end of the week will offer mostly favorable soil moisture conditions for winter wheat. The wet and colder conditions are stressful to livestock and will cause some disruption in travel and transportation. An active pattern is expected during the next week, and this could indicate more storm formation in the regions, notably in livestock areas.

NORTHERN PLAINS BLIZZARD

Across the Northern Plains, moderate to locally heavy snow, very cold conditions, and blizzard-strength winds will affect travel and transport through Saturday in the eastern Dakotas and northern Minnesota. Drier conditions are expected through central and west areas during the next week. Cold weather increases stress to livestock.

NORTHERN BRAZIL RAIN

Across Brazil, moderate to heavy rain is forecast for northern and central crop areas through the next week. Lighter amounts are in store for south-central and southern areas. The southern sectors will bear watching during the balance of January regarding the potential for stressful dryness to form. Heavy rains in the north could cause some disruption of early soybean harvest.

BENEFICIAL PATTERN IN ARGENTINA

Argentina has mostly favorable conditions for developing crops in Cordoba, Santa Fe and northern Buenos Aires following moderate and heavy rains that have occurred this week. Fieldwork delays are likely occurring. La Pampa and west Buenos Aires have recently benefited from light to moderate showers and much cooler conditions; however, these areas may turn drier quickly due to limited soil moisture reserves.

MILD BLACK SEA TEMPERATURES

In the Black Sea region, there are no cold-air threats to winter grains in Ukraine and Russia through the next week. Temperature trends are being watched due to a lack of snow cover in the region.

FAVORABLE SOUTH AFRICA TREND

In South Africa, crop weather conditions remain generally beneficial. Production estimates are higher than a year ago.

WEEKEND AUSTRALIA RAIN

Widespread rain, showers and thunderstorms have occurred through east-central Australia at the end of this week. The rain has brought some easing of intense bushfires; however, more rain is needed for additional benefit. The rain is arriving too late to do more than stabilized reduced crop yield prospects.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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