Commodities Market Impact Weather

Frost-Free Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Continued mild conditions in the central U.S. forecast, and only light rain for central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST STAYS MILD

The DTN ag weather forecast again calls for above- to much-above-normal temperatures to favor corn and soybean development and early harvest in the Midwest. There are no signs of damaging cold for at least the next 10 days.

ADDITIONAL NORTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Northern Plains, periods of showers and thunderstorms in the next five days will bring some new flood threat. Record-breaking rain Sept. 9-10 has the Missouri River Basin runoff approaching the record year of 2011. Temperatures remain mild for late-planted crop development.

SCATTERED SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

In the Southern Plains, winter planting is underway. Rainfall later in the five-day period and early in the six-to-10-day period will be useful for soil moisture.

SHOWERS AND COOL FOR PRAIRIES

In the Canadian Prairies, a brief round of drier conditions early this week will be replaced by wetter weather late in the week. No freeze event is expected in the next 10 days. However, low temperatures in northwest areas may dip into the 30s Fahrenheit during the next few days before warming again later in the week.

MORE BRAZIL HEAT AND DRYNESS

Brazil's crop areas continue with a dry-and-hot pattern through this week, delaying soybean planting.

VARIABLE EUROPE RAINFALL

In Europe, rainfall prospects are variable over the next week. Below-normal rain is expected through west and central Europe during the next five days. There appears to be some chance for better rainfall in the region during the 10-day period. The southeast may be drier during the next 10 days.

CONTRAST IN BLACK SEA REGION

In the Black Sea region, western and northern Ukraine have dryness concern following several weeks of dry conditions. South and east Ukraine through southern Russia have showers and generally more favorable conditions for the new winter wheat seeding.

WEAKER INDIA MONSOON

Monsoon rains are weakening in India. This is a seasonal feature. Recent rains have been very favorable for crops.

SPOTTY AUSTRALIA RAIN

Across Australia, most eastern wheat areas remain dry, with lower production expected. Eastern areas will have widely scattered showers through the rest of the week. Western Australia wheat has a more-favorable moisture assessment.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

(AG)

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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