Commodities Market Impact Weather

Hot Central US Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Hottest temperatures of the season in the Midwest and drier conditions for Southern Plains wheat harvest are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MIDWEST HEAT

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for hottest temperatures of the season along with mainly drier conditions in the Midwest over the next week. The best chance for rainfall will be in the northern Midwest. Heat index values are expected to surpass 100 F in many locales. This combination will be stressful to pollinating corn, developing soybeans, livestock and humans.

DELTA FLOODING

Tropical Storm Barry continues to track toward the central Gulf Coast with landfall expected early Saturday in Louisiana. Heavy, flooding rain from the storm is indicated for the lower Delta, causing crop damage and threatening lives and property. Barge shipping will be disrupted. Tropical Storm Barry has already caused disruption to Gulf of Mexico-based oil production.

BENEFICIAL SOUTHERN PLAINS HARVEST TREND

In the Southern Plains, warm to hot temperatures and little to no rain will favor wheat harvest over the next week. Row crops will have some stressful conditions with irrigation needed to sustain crop progress.

FAVORABLE IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains crop areas again have mild temperatures and periods of showers forecast through early next week. This pattern is favorable for crops. However, some heat concerns are likely in eastern sectors.

VARIABLE PRAIRIES RAINFALL

In the Canadian Prairies, northern and eastern areas will benefit from periodic showers and a variable temperature pattern during the next week to ten days. Southwest crop areas will be drier, and this is concerning.

CONTINUED DRYNESS IN EUROPE

Across Europe, the majority of crop areas remain dry through the weekend. The ten-day forecast suggests rainfall will be mostly below normal. Dryness remains a significant risk to crops, notably in France.

SHOWERS FOR RUSSIA

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine remain in line for cooler temperatures and light to moderate rain through the next five days. Crops will benefit from this combination.

PATCHY INDIA MONSOON RAIN

India monsoon rains will be scattered and inconsistent through the weekend and into next week. West-central crop areas are still in need of monsoon activity.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

(CZ)

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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