Commodities Market Impact Weather

Seasonal Midwest Variability

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Mixed midsummer conditions in the Midwest, and drier conditions for the Southern Plains wheat harvest, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for warmer and drier conditions in the eastern Midwest during the next five days. This trend is favorable for crop progress. Possible tropical system-related rain is in store for this sector in the seven-to-10-day period. Western Midwest areas have seasonal warmth and a more-active thunderstorm pattern. The impact is mostly favorable; however, locally heavy rain and flooding have occurred in central Nebraska.

GULF COAST RAINS

Tropical cyclone formation is possible by the end of the week along the northern Gulf of Mexico. This system will bear close monitoring for potentially heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast, and possibly into the Delta. Heavy rain and coastal surges are already causing flooding in New Orleans, Louisiana.

DRIER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS HARVEST

In the Southern Plains, drier and warmer conditions the rest of this week will be more favorable for the wheat harvest. Recent rainfall maintains adequate-to-surplus soil moisture for summer crops and is mostly favorable.

FAVORABLE NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

Northern Plains' conditions remain beneficial for crops. Moderate-to-heavy rain will be mainly beneficial as well, except in areas of local flooding. Temperatures will be variable.

VARIABLE PRAIRIES RAINFALL

In the Canadian Prairies, crops through northern and eastern areas will benefit from periodic showers and a variable temperature pattern during the next week to 10 days. Southwest crop areas trend towards drier conditions again during this period, and this is somewhat a concern.

DRYNESS IN EUROPE

Across Europe, the majority of crop areas remain dry. The 10-day forecast suggests that rainfall will be mostly below normal. Dryness remains a significant risk to crops.

FAVORABLE BLACK SEA PATTERN

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine continue with a cooler weather pattern and have light-to-moderate rain. Crops will benefit from this combination.

SCATTERED INDIA MONSOON RAIN

India's primary crop areas have scattered monsoon rains forecast through the end of the week. The monsoon has been an inconsistent feature this season. West-central crop areas, especially, have received very little precipitation.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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