Commodities Market Impact Weather

Pattern Change Watch

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Anticipation of a pattern change in the Midwest, and a stressful heat wave indicated for western Europe wheat areas, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

PATTERN CHANGE FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a change in the Midwest weather pattern to warmer and drier during the next week. This change will be favorable for crop development. There continues to be many concerns about the impact of heavy rain and cold conditions this season on acreage loss and delayed planting and development.

DAMAGING SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, heavy rain, hail and high winds caused damage to wheat during the past weekend. Some fields sustained major hail damage. Rain and high winds are also unfavorable for mature wheat and wheat harvesting. The central U.S. pattern change region is expected to trend drier and warmer during this week and into next week. This should help improve conditions for maturing wheat and wheat harvests.

RAIN TARGETS NORTHERN AREAS

In the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies, periods of rain and more seasonal temperatures are in store this week. The interior North America pattern change moves the storm track into the northern areas, offering the increased prospect for rainfall.

EUROPE HEAT WAVE

Western Europe wheat areas have a stressful heat wave forming this week. Temperatures are forecast to reach the mid to upper 90s Fahrenheit, some 20 degrees F above normal. This is stressful for ripening wheat.

SHOWERS FOR RUSSIA

Russia and Ukraine crop areas have scattered showers and cooler temperatures indicated this week. This will be favorable for crops following a hot and dry trend over the past week to 10 days.

MONSOON LAGS IN INDIA

India monsoon rain is forming, but is running about a week later than average. Monsoon-related rain is occurring in southern India crop areas. Central and northern locales are hot and dry, with very little rain indicated during the next week.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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