Commodities Market Impact Weather

Uncertain Brazil Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN)— A questionable chance for rain in the driest areas of Brazil, and very mild conditions across the central U.S., are key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MILD MIDWEST TREND

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a very warm and mainly dry Midwest pattern through the next seven days. Transportation delays will be confined to the Ohio River valley and the eastern Midwest on Monday, with rain causing some minor delays. There is no notable low-temperature risk to the soft red winter wheat crop at this time.

WARMER SOUTHERN PLAINS FORECAST

In the Southern Plains, snow and freezing rain through southern areas Thursday led to travel and transport delays, along with stress to livestock. A much warmer trend is in store through this weekend and most of next week, bringing definite improvement to conditions.

HOTTER AND DRIER IN NORTHERN BRAZIL

Northern Brazil has a hotter and drier pattern forming going into the weekend. These conditions are favorable for maturing soybeans and harvest. However, the onset of the hotter and drier trend is stressful to later-filling soybeans. Crop prospects are not as large as indicated earlier this season.

VARIABLE SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAINFALL

Across southern Brazil, Rio Grande do Sul continues to be in line for moderate to heavy rain. Elsewhere, Parana, Mato Grosso do Sul and Sao Paulo have some chances for showers through Saturday. However, this is uncertain. Dryness is leading to ideas of notable reduction in soybean crop prospects.

HEAVY NORTHERN ARGENTINA RAIN

In Argentina, northern crop areas have more moderate to heavy rain in store through the next week. Flooding and crop damage are possible. Southern areas have lighter showers and generally favorable crop conditions.

SEASONAL CHINA CONDITIONS

In central China, recent cold does not appear to have been stressful to dormant winter grains. Precipitation has mainly occurred through the Yangtze River valley, while the North China Plain remains seasonally drier.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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