Commodities Market Impact Weather

Variable Brazil Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Variable rainfall for Brazil, and an active southern-branch jet stream pattern in the U.S., are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

ACTIVE SOUTHERN U.S. JET STREAM

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for an active southern-branch jet stream to bring moderate to heavy precipitation over the Delta and Southeast during the next week. This pattern will lead to a drier trend in the Midwest; however, areas near the Ohio Valley will see some rain, with disruptions to late harvest.

WINDY AND DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, dry and very windy conditions late Wednesday and Thursday will cause transportation disruption. Strong winds will also dry out topsoils and bring potential wind erosion. Increased fire danger is also a possibility with the strong wind pattern.

VARIABLE BRAZIL RAIN

Brazil's major crop areas have a variable rainfall forecast. Moderate to heavy totals are indicated for the southern half of the region. This will be closely watched, as this sector of the country has been dry over the past week, with some soil moisture shortage and soybean crop stress developing. Northern areas have light to moderate rainfall expected.

HEAVY RAIN FOR ARGENTINA

Central Argentina has moderate to heavy rain indicated during the next seven days. Rain may be heavy enough to cause flooding in Santa Fe and Entre Rios, and could bring on some washing-out of recently planted corn and soybean acreage.

MIXED BLACK SEA SITUATION

In the Black Sea region, recent snowfall offers cover for winter wheat. Benefit may be variable, though, due to inconsistent germination and sprouting at planting time this season; a result of dryness in part of the region. More than half the Russia and Ukraine crop areas are short on soil moisture at this time.

DRY SOUTH AFRICA FORECAST

South Africa crop areas have a very warm to hot and dry forecast for the rest of this week following some beneficial rains during the past weekend.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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