DTN Market Impact Weather

Lower Temperatures for Midwest, Heat Continues for Europe

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Lower temperatures this week favoring crops in the Midwest, some rain chances forecast for the Central and Southern Plains, and continued high temperatures and drought affecting crops in Europe and Australia are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

COOL, DRIER MIDWEST TREND

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for no significant hot weather to affect reproductive crops in the Midwest during the next seven days. Drier weather is expected for much of this week, except far west and southwest areas. Soil moisture should support favorable development in the Midwest. Northern Missouri is still quite dry and needs rain to prevent further declines in yield potential. There is a chance for some showers in northern Missouri during the week.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Central and Southern Plains, increasing showers and cooler weather during this week should help ease stress in corn and soybean crops in key growing areas of Nebraska and Kansas. Light showers, with locally heavier amounts, favor north and west Kansas and east Colorado later today or during tonight. A few light showers, with locally heavier amounts, favor east and south Kansas, north and west Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle on Thursday or Thursday night. There's a slight chance for heavier showers in Colorado during this time. Light to moderate showers and thundershowers with locally heavier amounts favor southern Nebraska, north and west Kansas and east Colorado during Friday or Friday night.

COOLER, DRIER TREND FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

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Crop areas of the Northern Plains will see favorable soil moisture for developing corn and soybeans. Little rainfall during the next seven to 10 days will deplete soil moisture; however, due to a lack of hot weather, little crop stress is expected.

LIMITED RAIN FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Showers remain fairly limited for the Canadian Prairies during the next seven days. Temperatures vary somewhat during this time. Drier weather increases stress to filling crops, especially through southwest and central areas.

DRYNESS, HIGH TEMPERATURES AFFECT EUROPE

Early and mid-summer dryness and heat are affecting winter wheat yields and production in many western and northern Europe areas. Drought impact on wheat has been noted in England, France, Germany and Scandinavia areas, as well as in Ukraine and south Russia. Northwest Europe will see temperatures averaging 12 to 17 degrees Fahrenheit above normal through Friday. Highs in the low 90s F in northern France and Germany maintain high stress levels on late-filling winter crops and developing summer crops.

SOME IMPROVEMENT FOR UKRAINE, RUSSIA

Recent rain and less hot weather has helped ease stress to late reproductive and filling corn in the south and east Ukraine and south Russia, but is unlikely to significantly improve prospects after the extremes of this summer. A more showery pattern would benefit filling sunflower more than corn at this time. Recent generous rains have improved prospects in key sugarbeet areas of west and north Ukraine and Belarus.

THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTH CHINA

Northeastern China has had rain and thunderstorms during the past 24 hours, occurring mainly in west and north areas. Southeast and central areas continued drier and hotter yesterday. The pattern appears to favor continued above-normal temperatures and less-than-ideal rainfall for southeast and central locations, while areas north and west are not as warm and have some showers.

INCREASING STRESS IN CENTRAL CHINA

In central China, weakening tropical storm Ampil brought heavy rain to Shandong this week. Drier, hotter weather continued elsewhere in the region. Temperatures should average above normal and rainfall should average below normal during the next seven days. There is increasing stress to developing summer crops, especially through central areas, away from recent eastern rains and western thunderstorms.

HEAVY MONSOON RAIN in INDIA

Rain activity is now mostly in the north India region, including the central interior locations. These areas should see episodes of scattered thunderstorms and rain, as well as lower temperatures. The Gujarat area is on the edge of the activity and is mainly dry, but occasionally rain develops in eastern areas. Southern India is drier at this time.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: