DTN Market Impact Weather

Short-Term Midwest Heat

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A limited time frame of heat in the Midwest and hot conditions re-forming in the Black Sea region are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

LIMITED MIDWEST HEAT STRESS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for temperatures that do not appear to be hot enough to significantly affect reproductive crops in the Midwest region during this week, except possibly in the southwest and far west areas. The northwest to north-central areas may see scattered thundershowers later this week. The eastern and southern areas will remain drier for another five days or so. After that, showers and more seasonal temperatures may occur.

DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Southern Plains areas will be drier and hotter this week, leading to row-crop stress while favoring later-maturing wheat and the final harvest effort. There is a chance for some showers to form in the northern half of the region during the next week.

LIMITED WEST TEXAS SHOWERS

Cotton areas of west Texas have rainfall prospects Tuesday with light amounts indicated. The pattern resumes its hot and dry character from Wednesday through the end of the week.

MIXED NORTHERN PLAINS CONDITIONS

Northern Plains crops remain in mostly good to excellent condition at this time, especially in North Dakota. Showers and not very hot weather in the North Dakota area will continue to favor crops. South Dakota and Montana may incur hotter temperatures and less rain chances.

CONTINUED PRAIRIES RAIN CHANCES

Canadian Prairies crop areas were hot again Monday. Scattered moderate to locally heavy thunderstorms are expected in the area Tuesday, with another chance this coming weekend. If verified, this should help improve the condition of canola and spring wheat.

HOT PATTERN IN RUSSIA

In the Black Sea region, south Russia turned hot again Monday. The region is likely to experience above-normal temperatures during the next seven days. However, there will also be some increased chances for scattered thunderstorms. At this point in the summer, and after the previous heat and dryness, it is likely too late to significantly improve prospects for corn. If rainfall does improve, it might help filling soybeans or sunflower.

FAVORABLE IN NORTHEAST CHINA

Northeast China will have scattered thundershowers with a variable temperature pattern during the next week. Conditions are mostly favorable for corn and soybeans.

VARIABLE CENTRAL CHINA RAIN CHANCES

Central China has had scattered thunderstorms during the past couple of days, helping to ease stress to developing summer crops. Typhoon Maria is expected to bring flooding rains to rice areas of southeast China, followed by moisture from this system focusing on the western Yangtze River valley before moving north through western and northern areas of the North China Plain. Rain will bypass central and southeast areas.

CENTRAL INDIA RAIN

India monsoon rain should gradually move north again during this week, especially into central interior India and the Ganges plain. This should include south and east areas of Gujarat. It may include the balance of the Gujarat area as well.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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