DTN Market Impact Weather

Midwest Rain Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Promising rain chances for much of the Midwest, and only brief disruptions to Southern Plains wheat harvest, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

RAIN AHEAD IN MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a brief round of heat stress to southern and eastern Midwest crops early this week. However, frequent episodes of showers and thunderstorms are in store during the week, which, along with lower temperatures, should allow favorable crop conditions to return.

THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, very hot and mostly dry conditions during the past weekend favored wheat harvest while also stressing row crops. Thunderstorms and more seasonal temperatures are expected in some locations Tuesday and Wednesday. This should help ease stress to summer crops while being somewhat disruptive to the wheat harvest.

WEEKEND WEST TEXAS RAIN

In west Texas, scattered moderate to locally heavy showers and thunderstorms occurred during the weekend. A return to drier weather is likely during this week and next. Temperatures will be more seasonal through Thursday, and then hot weather redevelops.

LIGHTER RAIN IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains' crop areas have generally favorable conditions for development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans. A drier and warmer trend is in store for North Dakota.

DRIER FOR PRAIRIES

A drier and warmer-to-hotter period is expected in the Canadian Prairies during this week. However, it does not appear to last long enough to be overly concerning for developing crops at this time.

VARIABLE BLACK SEA RAINFALL

A recent increase in showers and thundershowers in western and central Ukraine should help ease stress to developing corn and soybeans. However, eastern Ukraine and south Russia continue drier and somewhat hotter at this time.

PERIODIC NORTHEAST CHINA SHOWERS

In northeast China, scattered thunderstorms occurred through southern areas at the end of last week. The area will see occasional showers and thundershowers during the coming days, helping to ease dryness concerns.

LATE-ARRIVING INDIA MONSOON

The leading edge of the India monsoon is over the northern part of south Indian and in northeast India, and is uneven and overall weaker than normal for the date. The leading edge of the monsoon is about where it should be at June 10 on the west coast, and about where it should be on June 5 in the northeast. There are signs that the rains may increase somewhat over southern and in northeast India this week, but progress toward the northwest is uncertain.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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