DTN Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Subsiding temperatures for a few days in the Midwest but a return to hot, dry conditions later next week, and stressful heat in the Southern Plains, are key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for dryness in the Midwest to continue being a concern for crop areas of the southwest belt, especially with recent extreme heat in the area. There is a chance that thunderstorms Friday night may hit a portion of this area, helping to ease dryness concerns. Otherwise, it's a more favorable period for development of crops during the next five to seven days as the recent heat subsides. Longer range, another surge of hot weather may move into the west and south Midwest and decrease the chances for showers.

HOT, DRY TREND FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, episodes of heat and dryness in the region during the next 10 days will again increase stress to winter wheat and early developing spring grains and oilseeds. After thunderstorms track through the northeast portion of the belt tonight, there may not be another chance for significant showers through the next seven to 10 days.

NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN FOR WEST TEXAS

There is no significant rain expected in the west Texas cotton region during the next 10 days. However, a few isolated thundershowers may occur at times. If any storms do develop today these would produce more wind than rain. Conditions will be frequently hot as the mean ridge position remains in the region.

SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

The Northern Plains region has generally favorable conditions for early development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans. Episodes of scattered showers to widely scattered showers help to ease dryness concerns.

DELTA HEAT

In the Delta, warm to hot weather and little significant rainfall are forecast during the next seven to 10 days, especially south of Memphis, Tennessee. Some increase in concern for crops in this region is possible.

MIXED PRAIRIES RAINFALL

In the Canadian Prairies, conditions are mainly favorable for planting. Recent showers have helped improve topsoil moisture enough for germination and early development. Forecasted showers in eastern Saskatchewan and Manitoba will continue to replenish top soil moisture. Central and western areas could use more rain, and will probably only see light scattered showers during the next five to seven days, although with cooler weather.

WEEKEND NORTHEAST CHINA RAIN

Showers during May are reported to have been less than 50% of normal for parts of Northeast China corn and soybean areas. Rain is needed to support development of recently planted corn and soybeans. High temperatures will be in the area today and Saturday. A cooling trend begins Sunday and continues early next week with some increase in showers.

MORE RAIN NEEDED IN AUSTRALIA

Showers and some rain have recently helped improve soil moisture for planting in Western Australia's winter wheat belt following an extended dry season. However, more rain is needed, especially through the eastern part of the area. The chances for significant rainfall this week appears fairly limited.

VARIABLE INDIA MONSOON PROGRESS

The leading edge of the India monsoon surged northward into extreme southwest India during this week, several days ahead of normal. However, in the southeast the progress remains at least several days behind normal. Overall, it appears the monsoon activity has weakened during the past couple of days from where it was earlier this week. This may slow the northward progress for a time.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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