Market Impact Weather

Midwest Harvest Delays

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Harvest disruption in much of the Midwest and a dry week ahead in central Brazil are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

RAIN DELAYS HARVEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for harvest disruptions and delays early this week following moderate to heavy weekend rains. The region should be drier this week, with slowly improving conditions for the harvest.

IMPROVED SOUTHERN PLAINS PLANTING

In the Southern Plains, recent rains provide favorable soil moisture for germination and early development of winter wheat. Rains have slowed planting progress somewhat, but conditions for planting should improve this week.

MILD IN DELTA

The Delta has no significant concerns for seasonal fieldwork at this time. Harvesting of soybeans, cotton and peanuts and planting of winter wheat should continue with little delay.

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FAVORABLE SOUTHEAST PATTERN

Southeastern U.S. crop areas have a mostly dry forecast. This offers favorable conditions for harvest after recent very heavy tropical-system rain.

DRY FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, continued mild and mostly dry conditions will favor harvest progress.

CONTINUED CENTRAL BRAZIL DRYNESS

Central Brazil remains under the influence of hot and dry conditions. This combination depletes soil moisture, slowing soybean planting and increasing stress to any developing crop. Some replanting may be necessary. This situation bears close watching. Meanwhile, drier conditions would benefit fieldwork and planting in southern Brazil.

BENEFICIAL ARGENTINA MOISTURE

Adequate to surplus soil moisture for corn and sunflower planting is in place over central Argentina. Corn and sunflower planting is underway, slowed in some areas by wet fields.

VARIABLE UKRAINE MOISTURE

Western Ukraine has favorable crop moisture for winter grain planting following recent rainfall. Eastern Ukraine through southern Russia are drier with some concern over soil moisture availability to sustain winter grains.

AUSTRALIA PATTERN CHANGE

A weather pattern change has formed over Australia. The past two weeks have brought more frequent and heavier rains from Queensland through northern New South Wales. The rains were of questionable benefit to wheat, however. Meanwhile, increased showers have also been noted in southern New South Wales, favoring reproductive to filling wheat after a prolonged drier spell.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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