Market Impact Weather

Irma Rain to Cover Southeast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Heavy rain from former Hurricane Irma, and mild weather across the central U.S. this week, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

HEAVY IRMA RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for heavy rain from former Hurricane Irma to cover the southeastern U.S. during the Monday-Tuesday time frame, in addition to previous heavy rain from the past weekend. Severe flooding is expected. Wind damage is also likely due to tropical storm-force winds and higher wind gusts. This is likely to cause significant losses to unharvested crops in the region, including cotton and peanuts.

FROST-FREE MIDWEST PATTERN

The Midwest has mostly favorable conditions for filling, maturing and the early harvest of corn and soybeans. There is no damaging cold weather indicated during the next 10 days.

WARM AND DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

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In the Southern Plains, soil moisture is mostly adequate for planting winter wheat. However, soil moisture may be diminishing due to above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall.

RAIN FOR DELTA

Delta crop areas have more rain in the pattern this week following the farther-west track of Tropical Storm Irma. Heaviest rains are indicated east of the region; however, rainfall that does occur will be unfavorable for mature crops and will likely further delay harvest.

LATE-WEEK NORTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

In the Northern Plains, conditions are generally favorable for filling and maturing corn and soybeans at this time. Rain later this week may be somewhat unfavorable for mature crops and harvesting for a time; however, moisture may ease dryness.

BENIGN CHINA PATTERN

Crop areas of northeastern China continue with a favorable pattern of periodic showers and mild weather.

WEAKENING INDIA MONSOON

The India monsoon appears to be weakening somewhat and retreating more to the south and east. Late-season rains that hit northwest India and Pakistan recently have improved prospects for winter crops grown in the area.

Wet weather may have been somewhat unfavorable for mature cotton and the early harvest of cotton at the time.

STILL DRY IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA

In eastern Australia, dryness is of much concern for wheat grown in northern New South Wales and southern Queensland. Wheat in reproductive growth stages is likely being hurt at this time. Rain is needed to stabilize crop prospects for the area. There is no significant rainfall in sight for the driest areas of east-central Australia. This is currently affecting wheat, but may also affect sorghum and cotton if the pattern continues.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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