Market Impact Weather

Hurricane Irma Damage Concern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Concern about crop damage due to Hurricane Irma, and limited rain for the central U.S., are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

HURRICANE IRMA TARGETS SOUTHEAST U.S.

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for damage threat from Hurricane Irma to be extreme during the weekend. Hurricane Irma is expected to track into south Florida as an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane Saturday night-Sunday morning. Latest forecast tracking has Irma moving northward through the heart of the Florida peninsula and then into Georgia. Irma remains an extreme risk to lives and property. Crops at risk include citrus, sugarcane and vegetables in Florida and Cuba. In the southeastern U.S., severe flooding is threatened, which would be damaging to corn, soybeans, cotton and peanuts.

DRY PATTERN AGAIN FOR MIDWEST

Mild and dry conditions remain in effect across the Midwest through the weekend. No frost is in the forecast; however, dry conditions lead to thoughts of reduced soybean yield. Early harvest samples in the western Midwest indicate yields notably lower than a year ago.

QUIET SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

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Soil moisture in the Southern Plains is mostly adequate for the upcoming winter wheat planting season. A few showers are in store over the next week. The general pattern is favorable for early fieldwork.

DRIER FOR DELTA

The Delta forecast remains mostly dry through the next week. This pattern favors crops and harvest. There is some caution about the eventual track of Hurricane Irma; however, latest guidance keeps the Irma track away from the Delta.

FAVORABLE IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Generally favorable conditions remain over the Northern Plains for filling and maturing corn and soybeans. There is no damaging cold weather expected during the next 10 days.

HURRICANE KATIA THREATENS MEXICO

Hurricane Katia, in the western Gulf of Mexico, is expected to move inland over Veracuz, Mexico as a Category 2 or possibly Category 3 hurricane midway between Veracruz city and Tampico. This area of Mexico produces coffee, citrus and sugarcane. These crops would be at risk of serious damage due to high winds and severe flooding and mudslides. Transport would also be affected.

BENIGN CHINA PATTERN

Crop areas of northeastern China continue with a favorable pattern of periodic showers and mild weather.

NO RAIN FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA

Dry wheat areas of eastern Australia continue with no rain forecast through the weekend.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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