Market Impact Weather

Moderate to Heavy Midwest Rains

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Moderate to heavy rains in the Midwest and some of the eastern Plains in the next few days, some possible showers for the Northern Plains, and cooler conditions for the Southern Plains this week are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST RAINS, THUNDERSTORMS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for rain and scattered thunderstorms for the Midwest during this week to maintain mostly favorable conditions for developing corn and soybeans, especially as temperatures return to more normal levels. The western Midwest expects scattered thundershowers to develop through western and northern areas tonight, and then scattered to widely scattered thundershowers favoring eastern and southern areas during Wednesday. Moderate to heavy thunderstorms are expected during Thursday, possibly favoring eastern and southern Iowa and northern Missouri. As for the eastern Midwest, scattered thundershowers develop through the northwest and north areas tomorrow or tomorrow night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms favoring northern and west-central areas are seen for Thursday or Thursday night. In the six- to 10-day outlook, temperatures are expected to average below normal early in this period, above normal west and near normal east late in the period. Rainfall should average near to above normal.

ADEQUATE TO SURPLUS DELTA MOISTURE

There was rain late last week in the Delta due to post tropical depression Cindy. This will maintain adequate to surplus moisture for crops and is favorable, except for areas of local flooding.

POSSIBLE SHOWERS COMING FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

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More rain would benefit developing corn, soybeans and spring wheat in the Northern Plains. However, the lack of any hot weather limits stress. Some beneficial showers are possible during this week.

COOLER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Southern Plains has no significant concerns for mature wheat and the wheat harvest at this time, although showers may at times slow the harvest. A cooler period will favor developing corn and sorghum in the region during this week. Hot weather is expected next week.

MAINLY DRY FOR WEST TEXAS

West Texas will see mainly dry conditions or only a few light showers during the next seven to 10 days. Temperatures will be above to well above normal. Dryland fields could use more rain to support favorable development.

MAINLY FAVORABLE OUTLOOK FOR CANADA'S PRAIRIES

Showers during the week and more seasonal temperatures will favor crops in the Canadian Prairies, except in the northwest where fieldwork delays are still of some concern.

DRIER, HOTTER FOR NORTHEAST CHINA

More rain is needed in northeast China, especially in the western crop areas. Drier, hotter weather is expected early this week, while late in the week we may see some increase in scattered showers and less hot weather.

IMPROVED INDIAN MONSOON RAINS THIS WEEK

In India, the monsoon has moved north of Gujarat and all but the extreme north portion of Madhya Pradesh, but is still just east and south of Uttar Pradesh. This is at least 10 days behind normal development, but it appears to be improving. Improvement is expected during this week and there is a good chance for needed rains to occur in soybean, groundnut and cotton areas of west-central India. We should also see increasing shower activity reach into Uttar Pradesh during the week.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: