Market Impact Weather

Central U.S. Heat Wave

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Concern over a round of early-summer hot conditions in the central U.S. during the rest of the week, and continued dryness in the Northern Plains, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

HOT FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a round of significant heat to cross the Midwest from west to east over the next week. Temperatures in the range of 93 to 97 degrees Fahrenheit are in store for the western Midwest through the coming weekend, with the intense heat moving into the eastern Midwest in the six-to-10 day timeframe. This heat will be stressful to developing crops, already in an uneven growth scenario because of extensive planting delays.

HEAT FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A mostly hot and dry pattern is indicated for the Southern Plains through the next five days. The heat will favor wheat ripening ahead of harvest, but will be stressful for developing row crops. Hot conditions are also unfavorable for livestock in feedlots.

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LATE-WEEK NORTHERN PLAINS HEAT

Northern Plains' crops are in line for some slight easing of drought stress during next week, with a promising round of light to moderate rain. However, conditions prior to the onset of rain will be hot and dry, bringing more stress to spring wheat along with row crops. Spring wheat conditions are indicated at their poorest level since 1988 for this time of the season.

WIDESPREAD PRAIRIES RAIN FORECAST

Widespread light to moderate rain continues to be featured for the Canadian Prairies over the next week. The rain will bring more delays for planting in central and northern Alberta and northern Saskatchewan. Elsewhere, crops will benefit from the rain and recent warmth.

POSSIBLE UKRAINE SHOWERS

Variable showers are indicated for Ukraine during the next five days. Only light precipitation is forecast for the dry central portion of the country. USDA's weekly weather and crop bulletin notes that beneficial showers in Russia contrasted with a return to dry conditions in Ukraine.

Wheat conditions in Ukraine are highly variable, with satellite-derived vegetation health data indicating excellent conditions in southern and eastern portions of the country contrasting with locally poor vegetation health in central Ukraine due to spring dryness and drought.

In Russia, widespread showers and thunderstorms sustained excellent yield prospects for flowering to filling winter wheat from the southern Central District into the Southern and North Caucasus Districts. Farther north, moderate to heavy rain boosted moisture reserves for vegetative small grains and summer crops from eastern Belarus into Russia's Volga District.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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