Market Impact Weather

Stormy Midwest Pattern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A volatile and stormy trend in the Midwest, and wet conditions continuing in the Southern Plains, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

SEVERE MIDWEST STORMS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for severe storms and heavy rain in the western and northern Midwest through the next several days. Flooding is possible. In addition, planting will be disrupted. Eastern Midwest areas have drier conditions for planting for another two days before rain moves in during the coming weekend.

MORE SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, storms with heavy rain over the next few days will maintain adequate to surplus soil moisture, but some threat to crops from hail and high winds is possible. In addition, lower temperatures at the end of this week will need to be watched for a potential freeze threat to reproductive wheat.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains' areas have more rain in store through the next few days. The storms and rain will disrupt planting. However, progress has been notable recently due to warm and dry conditions prior to the onset of storms.

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COOL IN PRAIRIES

In the Canadian Prairies, a drier but cool trend is forecast through the end of the week. This pattern will be unfavorable for crop progress. Activity has already been slowed in western areas due to wet and cool conditions.

CENTRAL BRAZIL SHOWERS

Central Brazil crop areas continue with periods of showers in the forecast, which will favor filling corn.

COOLER ARGENTINA FORECAST

In Argentina, a cooler weather pattern is forecast for the end of this week. This will bring some delay in row crop harvest, but maintains favorable conditions for winter wheat.

BENEFICIAL EUROPE RAIN

USDA's weekly crop bulletin notes that during the past week, an active weather pattern featured light to moderate showers of close to 1 inch (20 millimeters) in northern Europe, while locally more than 30 mm fell across the southern third of the continent. The moisture was timely for reproductive winter wheat and rapeseed in central and northern growing areas, particularly in areas beset with spring dryness from central and northern France into Germany.

WELCOME UKRAINE SHOWERS

According to USDA's weekly crop weather bulletin, beneficial rain (10 to 20 mm) in north-central Ukraine during the past week eased soil moisture deficits following a protracted dry spell (locally less than 50% of normal over the past 90 days). However, more rain will be needed to fully ease the effects of this spring’s acute dryness.

VERY WARM CHINA FORECAST

China's major crop areas have a very warm to hot short-term forecast. A warm pattern, with above-normal temperatures, is also in store through the next 10 days. This drier and warmer pattern favors planting but also depletes available soil moisture for early development.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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