Market Impact Weather

Mixed Midwest Pattern

Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

OMAHA (DTN) -- Wide variance in field conditions for the Midwest, and rain for a large portion of the South America crop areas, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST VARIABILITY

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a variable scenario for spring fieldwork across the Midwest. Western areas have mostly favorable conditions. However, the northern portion of North Dakota has flood potential. In eastern areas, rainfall this week will improve soil moisture in recently drier areas of Missouri and Illinois while maintaining and improving soil moisture elsewhere in the region. However, corn planting in southern areas will be delayed due to the increase in rainfall this week.

ADDITIONAL SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, a new round of rain is favorable for developing wheat while causing some delay to row crop fieldwork. Drier and warmer conditions later this week will promote development of crops and improve fieldwork conditions for row crops.

NEAR-GENERAL BRAZIL RAIN

Rainfall of moderate to locally-heavy intensity will cover almost all Brazil crop areas this week. The rain will favor soil moisture for the second-crop corn (safrinha) as this crop moves into pollination. However, the rainfall may also delay the soybean harvest in southern Brazil.

RAIN FOR ARGENTINA

Argentina will see moderate to locally heavy rain during this week across most of the major crop areas. This rain will delay harvest and could bring on flooding in some locations.

DRIER UKRAINE TREND

Only scattered, light rain is indicated in the 10-day forecast for Ukraine and Russia. This pattern will cause some soil moisture loss in western Ukraine, and will be unfavorable for winter grains after an early exit from dormancy due to unseasonably warm weather.

MILDER TREND FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA

In eastern Australia, a drier period continues for the major growing areas during the next week or more. This should help improve conditions for mature crops and harvest, after heavy rain last week.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

(ES)