Market Impact Weather

Rain Hinders Midwest Fieldwork

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Rain causing delays in fieldwork over the Midwest, and possible heavy rain and flooding in Argentina, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

MIDWEST DISRUPTION

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for some row crop fieldwork disruption in the eastern and southern Midwest due to rainfall this week. The rain will favor soil moisture recharge in Missouri and Illinois after a dry pattern during the winter.

FAVORABLE SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

In the Southern Plains, a major rain event last week and more rain during the weekend and early this week will favor developing wheat while causing some delay to row crop fieldwork. A drier, warmer period later this week would promote development of crops and improve field work conditions.

FLOOD POTENTIAL IN SOUTHEAST PRAIRIES

Southeastern portions of the Canadian Prairies, notably parts of Manitoba and Saskatchewan, have continued high flood risk. Flooding is almost certain if heavy rains develop or if a rapid snow melt continues. There is no indication of heavy rainfall any time soon, but some pick-up in precipitation is possible this coming weekend.

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RAIN TO SPREAD ACROSS BRAZIL

Across Brazil, favorable conditions remain in effect for developing second crop corn in central Brazil. Favorable conditions for maturing and harvesting soybeans in southern Brazil are also in effect at this time, but a wet pattern is likely this week. This heavy rain may favor late-filling soybeans in soybeans in Rio Grande do Sul and second crop corn in Parana, but it will also delay harvest.

SOUTHERN ARGENTINA FLOODING

Southern Argentina has significant flooding in effect. Very heavy rains, 5 to 15 inches, occurred in La Pampa province last week, and likely caused severe flooding in minor growing areas. La Pampa may experience more rain later this week. Farther north, moderate to heavy rain fell during the weekend, with more heavy rain likely this week. This will maintain adequate to surplus soil moisture; however, the wet pattern is unfavorable for maturing crops and will delay and disrupt early harvest.

PROMISING EUROPE CONDITIONS

Across Europe, generous rains during March have helped ease concerns for crops that are well ahead of normal development.

DRIER UKRAINE TREND

Short-term dryness is of some concern for southern and western wheat areas of Ukraine. These areas have seen only 25 to 50% of normal precipitation over the past 60 days. The region has well-above-normal temperatures at this time which should further push development of crops along and encourage early planting of spring grains. In addition, little rainfall is forecasted in the drier areas of west and south Ukraine during the next 10 days or so.

HEAVY EASTERN AUSTRALIA RAIN

Moderate to heavy rains affected a portion of the major Australia sorghum and cotton areas late last week while it turned drier during the weekend. Sorghum and cotton are being harvested this time of year. Damage to these crops appears likely. Severe damage is possible in some locations.

HOT PATTERN FOR INDIA

Across India, dry and hot conditions recently should favor maturing winter crops but may be somewhat unfavorable for late-developing crops.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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