Market Impact Weather

Hot and Dry in Plains

Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

OMAHA (DTN) -- More heat and dryness in the Southern Plains and a warm pattern with showers in the Midwest are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

MIDWEST WARMTH AND SHOWERS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for mild temperatures with showers in the Midwest during this first week of the official spring season. Moderate to locally heavy precipitation is indicated, mostly in southern and eastern areas. Dry areas of the central and southern Midwest, especially in the mid-Mississippi Valley, will benefit; however, locally heavy precipitation may also cause some delays in spring field work progress.

STRESSFUL SOUTHERN PLAINS DRYNESS

Southern Plains crop areas had exceptional heat and continued dryness during the past weekend. Highs into the 90s Fahrenheit caused more stress to the already-parched wheat crop. Chances for meaningful rainfall remain low during the next five days. There appears to be some chance for rainfall to occur in the six- to 10-day period, but prospects for meaningful precipitation in the hardest-hit drought areas of the western and southwestern Plains are questionable.

MILD IN NORTHERN AREAS

Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies areas have a mild stretch of weather ahead this week. Any precipitation that occurs will be mostly in the form of rain. Wettest areas do not appear to be in the highest-probability track of precipitation.

RAIN TO HINDER BRAZIL HARVEST

Central Brazil has a new round of moderate to locally heavy rain in store during this week. This offers soil moisture for the second-crop corn (safrinha), but will also cause some disruption to the final portion of soybean harvest. Soybean harvest is pegged at around 70% complete as of last weekend.

DRIER FOR ARGENTINA PROGRESS

Central Argentina will be generally dry and mild this week. This pattern favors additional corn harvest progress. Estimated corn harvest completion is around 15%.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

(ES)