Commodities Market Impact Weather

Dry, Hot Conditions for Brazil

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Stressful weather for Brazil outside of Rio Grande do Sul and more rain for Argentina are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

SNOW OR ICE AHEAD FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for snow or ice to develop from the east-central Plains through the southwest and central Midwest region Friday night into Saturday. These areas will likely experience delays to travel and transport during this time frame. Following this period, conditions will improve again. No significant threat to the soft red winter wheat crop during the next 10 days.

GENERALLY FAVORABLE SOUTHERN PLAINS CONDITIONS

In the Southern Plains, the pattern remains favorable for overwintering wheat. There is no damaging cold weather in sight. No significant stress to livestock is expected during this period, although precipitation tonight and Friday in southwest Kansas and the Texas Panhandle may include some snow or ice.

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BRAZIL HEAT AND DRYNESS

In Brazil, drier and hotter weather from Parana north to Mato Grosso and northeast to Bahia will continue to stress developing soybeans, corn and sugarcane. This is likely to affect crop yield forecasts for these locations. Rain and thunderstorms will maintain more favorable conditions for crops in Rio Grande do Sul during this period. No significant concerns for mature crops and harvesting in Mato Grosso at this time.

RAIN FOR ARGENTINA

In Argentina, mostly favorable conditions for developing corn and soybeans throughout the major growing areas of central Argentina with adequate to surplus soil moisture and no significant hot spells. For Cordoba, Santa Fe and North Buenos Aires, there will be a few light showers today and Saturday, and then scattered moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms Sunday or during Monday.

ADEQUATE BLACK SEA SNOW COVER

It has recently turned quite cold in portions of southeast Europe and Ukraine with readings falling below zero Fahrenheit. However, these temperatures occurred in areas where snow cover was more than adequate to protect the crop from this cold weather. The weather pattern is cold at times over Eastern Europe and Ukraine, but probably not extremely cold. It is also an active weather pattern with additional chances to add to the protective snow cover.

PERIODIC SHOWERS FOR SOUTH AFRICA

Periodic scattered to widely scattered showers and no significant heat waves should favor developing crops at this time for South Africa. However, more rain might still be needed in some locations.

COLDER IN CHINA

The region has turned colder recently, but it does not appear to have been cold enough to affect dormant winter grains. It does not look to be very cold during the next seven to 10 days, although temperatures will be below normal at times. Precipitation will be mainly through the Yangtze River Valley, while the North China Plain remains seasonally drier.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: