Commodities Market Impact Weather

Storm Later This Week for Southern Plains, Southeast U.S.

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Mainly favorable conditions for Brazil and Argentina, a drying trend for a few days in the Midwest, and another storm later this week continuing to assure good moisture conditions for the winter wheat crop in the U.S., are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

DRYING TREND IN MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a drying trend in the Midwest lasting at least five to seven days that will help improve conditions for the final harvest effort. Lower temperatures help to firm the ground to help support the heavier equipment.

MORE RAIN FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Southern Plains will have favorable conditions for winter wheat with adequate soil moisture in all areas. Colder weather this week will slow crop development. There continues to be opportunities to add to the soil moisture. Light rain or showers develop through central and northern Texas during Thursday or Thursday night. Moderate to heavy rain or showers and thunderstorms are expected through central and north Texas and southeast Oklahoma during Friday into Saturday.

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FAVORABLE BRAZIL TREND

Wet weather in central Brazil raises concerns of increasing disease pressure to developing soybeans. However, during the next five days the rains favor northeast Brazil crop areas while Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul trend somewhat drier. The northeast, notably Bahia, could use the rain. There's favorably drier weather in southern Brazil this week.

DRIER FOR ARGENTINA

Favorably drier weather for planting and developing corn and soybeans will be seen in central Argentina this week. Some scattered frost in southern Buenos Aires on Sunday morning should not have caused any damage to crops.

VARIABLE SOUTH AFRICA TRENDS

South Africa should be somewhat drier and hotter during the next three to five days. This is favorable for planting in areas that have adequate soil moisture. Delays continue for areas that are drier, especially in the western maize areas. This coming weekend looks to be wetter and cooler. It appears likely that eastern maize and key sugarcane areas will see beneficial rainfall. The western maize areas may see only scattered light showers.

ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IN EUROPE

An active weather pattern with above-normal temperatures helps to replenish soil moisture in key growing areas for winter wheat and rapeseed. This includes previously very dry areas in and around Germany. Later in the 10-day period it is likely to turn cold and dry as the high latitude blocking ridge returns to Scandinavia and easterly winds develop to the south of this ridge.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: