Market Impact Weather

Mixed Pattern in Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Variable planting conditions across the Midwest, and more dryness in central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for improving conditions for planting corn over southern and eastern portions of the Midwest. In contrast, moderate to heavy rainfall will slow fieldwork and planting in the western, central and northeast areas during this period. Longer-range forecasts indicate a drier trend, with only periodic delays due to showers.

STORMY MIDWEEK IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Thunderstorms Wednesday will bring the risk of heavy rain and severe weather to east and south-central Kansas and north-central Oklahoma. Typically, severe weather does not affect enough of the wheat crop to make much difference in overall production, although local farms may have an impact. Rainfall would be a benefit in areas where it develops. Drier weather is expected to continue to reduce yield prospects in the already too-dry areas of the southwest growing belt.

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DRIER NORTHERN PLAINS FORECAST

Spring fieldwork in the Northern Plains remains well-behind normal for the date. Drier and warmer conditions during the coming days should help to improve conditions for planting. As we move forward, dryness may become more of an issue, especially over North Dakota. Some spring wheat acreage may shift to corn and soybeans.

FAVORABLE DELTA TREND

In the Delta, conditions remain favorable for planting and crop development.

LIMITED PRAIRIES RAIN

A dry pattern continues for the Canadian Prairies during the next week. The drier trend will be accompanied by warmer weather, helping to improve soil temperatures and conditions for fieldwork during the coming days.

Dryness remains a concern in several areas, most notably in Manitoba, extreme east and northwest Saskatchewan and northeast crop areas of Alberta.

MORE BRAZIL DRYNESS

Brazil's central crop areas continue with a dry trend. Little to no rainfall is expected this week. Dryness is likely to result in reduced production of second-crop corn (safrinha) of close to 20% compared with a year ago.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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