Commodities Market Impact Weather

Strong System Bringing Moderate Rain, Snow

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A large storm that continues to bring major weather impacts across the United States and better-than-normal rainfall in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Thursday.

RAIN DELAYS FOR MIDWEST

A large storm system is wrapping up in the Midwest Thursday, bringing a line of showers eastward and some snow to northwestern areas with potential accumulations. Widespread delays are expected for the remaining harvest. Breezy winds are also a hazard with this system. A secondary system will move through during the weekend and add more precipitation to the region, with snow accumulations possible across the north.

SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS MISSING RAINS

Poor conditions continue for winter wheat in western Southern Plains while eastern areas are faring better. A system brought scattered showers and some severe weather to eastern areas on Wednesday while western areas remained dry. Overall conditions continue to be unfavorable for winter wheat in the west while conditions are much better in the east.

POTENTIAL BLIZZARD FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Light to moderate showers moved through the Northern Plains on Wednesday. Cold air funneling into the region will bring scattered snow showers to the eastern portions of the region through early Friday. That will come with strong winds as well, causing blizzard conditions, drifting snow, and affecting the remaining corn harvest. A clipper-like system will move through on Saturday with another stripe of snow possible across the region. A system next week is expected to miss the region with precipitation.

DELTA GOING DRIER AGAIN

A system is bringing scattered showers through the area early Thursday, benefiting winter wheat establishment but could affect the remaining harvest. Dry conditions afterward will favor the remaining harvest.

BRIEF FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST THURSDAY

A front will move through the Southeast Thursday with scattered showers that negatively could impact harvest. But drier weather will follow so this should be a brief occurrence.

WAVES OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Several waves of precipitation will move through the Pacific Northwest during the next week, each bringing potential for helpful showers. But most areas are likely to only see light precipitation.

DRYNESS CONCERNS FOR BLACK SEA

Some showers moved through Ukraine and western Russia earlier this week, but has not been enough to reverse the dryness so far this fall for winter wheat establishment. Mostly dry weather through the weekend will not be beneficial and temperatures are forecast to fall early next week as a fairly dry system moves through.

DAILY SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS BRAZIL

Daily scattered showers will continue across central Brazil for the next week. Dryness over Rio Grande do Sul this week has been the only area with detrimental conditions. The dryness has helped with the remaining wheat harvest. But scattered showers are likely to move through southern areas during the weekend and next week as well for overall beneficial conditions for corn and soybeans.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA BY THE WEEKEND

Isolated showers have been popping up in Argentina through the week, mostly for the drier western areas, keeping soils from getting too dry. A system should push through the country during the weekend and bring widespread scattered showers, which would be favorable for corn and soybean planting and early growth. It may start to get drier after the front pushes through, but models are mixed on how much precipitation will occur next week.

WET HARVEST CONDITIONS FOR EASTERN AUSTRALIA

Systems moving through eastern Australia since last week continue to provide good moisture for summer cotton and sorghum, but putting some pressure on wheat and canola harvest. Another large system will move through on Thursday before the region goes on a drier trend next week.

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Get a full rundown on the 2022 outlook for weather affecting U.S. and international crop areas during the DTN Ag Summit, Dec. 5-7, in Chicago. Visit www.dtn.com/agsummit for more details about the summit and to register. Register before Nov. 26 for the early bird rate.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick