Commodities Market Impact Weather

Variable Central US Rain Outlook

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Wide variability in central U.S. rain prospects and more withering dryness in Brazil are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Friday.

WARMER AND STORMY IN MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for the Midwest to see a warming trend during the next week. This warmer pattern will be favorable for summer crop germination and early growth. The warmer weather will be accompanied by an active storm pattern. Rainfall totals are expected to be moderate to heavy over the central and southern sectors of the region. Recently drier northern areas have light to moderate amounts in store. Lightest totals are expected to be in the immediate Great Lakes area.

ADDITIONAL SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

Southern Plains crop areas have improved soil moisture following recent showers. Temperatures below normal will rise back up to normal for this weekend. More widespread showers are expected this weekend through next week as an upper level low stalls in the region. This will continue to increase soil moisture. Temperatures will remain near to slightly below normal.

CHRONIC NORTHERN PLAINS DRYNESS

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In the Northern Plains, damaging drought remains the main weather feature. The next five days remain mainly dry. In addition, temperatures turning to well-above normal levels will further extract moisture. The six- to 10-day forecast suggests a chance for no more than light to moderate rainfall.

WET DELTA PATTERN

The Delta has moderate to heavy rain in store through the next seven days. This will generally be favorable for crop progress. Temperatures will be seasonal.

LIGHT SOUTHEAST PRECIPITATION

The southeastern U.S. has mainly light rainfall ahead during the next week. This drier pattern will be favorable for crop progress.

DRY AGAIN IN PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies have no more than isolated showers ahead through the next week. General dryness and drought continue, including extreme drought conditions in eastern areas according to the Canada Drought Monitor. A system in during late next week does offer the prospect for light to moderate precipitation and will be closely tracked.

DAMAGING BRAZIL DROUGHT

Withering heat and drought remain in effect over central Brazil. The next meaningful chance for precipitation comes at the end of next week. Rainfall will be too late to improve yield potential.

MINIMAL ARGENTINA RAINFALL

Argentina continues with no more than light rain in the seven-day forecast. The dry conditions favor row crop harvest.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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