Commodities Market Impact Weather

Light Russia Rain Prospect

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Light rain for the Black Sea region wheat areas and in most of the South America crop regions are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

BENEFICIAL MIDWEST HARVEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast features a warm and dry pattern across the Midwest during this first week of February. This pattern will allow corn harvest to finish in many operations along with benefiting fall fieldwork progress.

DRY WEEK FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

The remainder of this week has a dry and warm pattern in store for the Southern Plains. Western sectors of the region still need of moisture while eastern areas have improved soil moisture following rain and snow during the past week. Winter wheat ratings are well below a year ago at only 41% good to excellent. The Kansas crop rating shows less than 30% rated good to excellent.

WARM PERIOD IN NORTHERN PLAINS

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Northern Plains areas have dry and very warm conditions ahead through the week. The dry trend will be very useful for the final stage of harvest along with fall fieldwork. Colder conditions with occurrences of snow move into the region during the seven-to-10-day period.

MILD DELTA PATTERN

Delta and Southeast crop areas have dry and mild conditions ahead during this week. This combination will allow for improved harvest progress along with fieldwork.

LIGHT BRAZIL RAIN

Brazil crop areas have mostly light rain in the seven-day forecast. This brings concern to central and southern crop areas where soil moisture needs are most acute.

MINIMAL ARGENTINA RAIN

Argentina crop areas continue with a forecast of light rain ahead during this week. Soil moisture is in short supply over northern and western crop areas. This light precipitation will offer very little benefit.

RUSSIA SOIL MOISTURE CONCERNS

Russia wheat areas again have light to locally moderate rain indicated during this week. Wheat areas continue with a very dry pattern over the past three months. The Black Sea region is still likely to go into the dormant phase for winter wheat with soil moisture deficits.

FAVORABLE AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Australia wheat areas have periods of light showers ahead this week. Rainfall will bring on some brief delays in wheat harvest progress; however, moisture will benefit summer crops.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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